USBGF OLM 2021-10-16

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Last vote on the OLM:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 1
pip: 64
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 138
score: 0

is USBGF Members
XGID=--b-BBBBBA---A-A----AA-eh-:2:-1:1:53:0:1:0:11:10
to play 53

1.Rollout113/8 9/6eq: +1.082
Player:
Opponent:
89.33% (G:31.10% B:0.98%)
10.67% (G:1.48% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.081...+1.084) - [78.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes
2.Rollout113/5eq: +1.081 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
89.32% (G:31.07% B:0.99%)
10.68% (G:1.59% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.080...+1.083) - [20.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
3.Rollout215/12 9/4eq: +1.078 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
89.25% (G:30.76% B:0.97%)
10.75% (G:1.47% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.074...+1.081) - [1.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 50 seconds
4.Rollout213/10 9/4eq: +1.077 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
89.25% (G:30.75% B:0.97%)
10.75% (G:1.45% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.074...+1.081) - [0.3%]
Duration: 10 minutes 50 seconds
5.Rollout115/10 9/6eq: +1.077 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
89.25% (G:30.78% B:0.97%)
10.75% (G:1.46% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.076...+1.079) - [0.0%]
Duration: 59 minutes 33 seconds
6.Rollout221/18 13/8eq: +1.076 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
89.28% (G:30.64% B:0.94%)
10.72% (G:1.53% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.072...+1.080) - [0.1%]
Duration: 9 minutes 36 seconds
7.Rollout221/18 9/4eq: +1.075 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
89.21% (G:30.71% B:0.97%)
10.79% (G:1.43% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.072...+1.079) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 35 seconds
8.Rollout215/12 13/8eq: +1.075 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
89.24% (G:30.63% B:0.94%)
10.76% (G:1.56% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.071...+1.079) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 36 seconds
9.Rollout220/15 9/6eq: +1.072 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
89.20% (G:30.46% B:0.97%)
10.80% (G:1.49% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.069...+1.076) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 29 seconds
10.Rollout220/17 9/4eq: +1.072 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
89.17% (G:30.58% B:0.96%)
10.83% (G:1.41% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.069...+1.076) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 17 seconds
11.Rollout220/17 13/8eq: +1.071 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
89.19% (G:30.50% B:0.92%)
10.81% (G:1.51% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.067...+1.075) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 34 seconds
12.Rollout215/10 13/10eq: +1.070 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
89.21% (G:30.22% B:0.94%)
10.79% (G:1.48% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.066...+1.073) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds
13.Rollout215/7eq: +1.069 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
89.13% (G:30.37% B:0.97%)
10.87% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.066...+1.073) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 32 seconds
14.xgRollout221/16 9/6eq: +1.069 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
89.12% (G:30.39% B:0.95%)
10.88% (G:1.38% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.065...+1.072) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 36 seconds
15.Rollout220/15 13/10eq: +1.068 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
89.16% (G:30.17% B:0.94%)
10.84% (G:1.52% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.064...+1.071) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 52 seconds
16.Rollout221/16 13/10eq: +1.066 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
89.07% (G:30.28% B:0.94%)
10.93% (G:1.52% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.062...+1.069) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds
17.playedRollout220/12eq: +1.062 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
89.06% (G:30.06% B:0.93%)
10.94% (G:1.66% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.059...+1.066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 19 seconds
18.Rollout221/13eq: +1.062 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
89.03% (G:30.02% B:0.97%)
10.97% (G:1.71% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.058...+1.066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 16 seconds
19.Rollout221/16 20/17eq: +1.061 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
89.12% (G:29.81% B:0.94%)
10.88% (G:1.57% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.057...+1.065) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 14 seconds
20.Rollout221/18 15/10eq: +1.060 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
89.03% (G:29.66% B:0.90%)
10.97% (G:1.35% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.057...+1.064) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 47 seconds
21.Rollout221/18 20/15eq: +1.060 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
89.14% (G:29.60% B:0.95%)
10.86% (G:1.53% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.056...+1.064) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 08 seconds
22.Rollout220/17 15/10eq: +1.058 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
88.98% (G:29.60% B:0.92%)
11.02% (G:1.53% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.054...+1.061) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 01 second
23.Rollout221/16 15/12eq: +1.056 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
88.97% (G:29.67% B:0.92%)
11.03% (G:1.61% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.053...+1.060) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 04 seconds
 
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30493823
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30493823
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

USBGF Members vote:
Initial vote:
[18] 20/12
[ 8] 13/8 9/6
[ 5] 21/16 9/6
[ 2] 20/15 13/10
[ 2] 21/16 15/12
[ 2] 21/16 20/17
[ 1] 13/5
[ 1] 21/18 13/8
[ 0] 15/10 9/6
Remove lowest vote getter 15/10 9/6.

Vote after Runoff 1:
[18] 20/12
[ 8] 13/8 9/6
[ 5] 21/16 9/6
[ 2] 20/15 13/10
[ 2] 21/16 15/12
[ 2] 21/16 20/17
[ 1] 13/5
[ 1] 21/18 13/8
Remove lowest vote getters 13/5 and 21/18 13/8.

Vote after Runoff 2:
[18] 20/12
[ 8] 13/8 9/6
[ 5] 21/16 9/6
[ 2] 20/15 13/10
[ 2] 21/16 15/12
[ 2] 21/16 20/17
Remove lowest vote getters 20/15 13/10, 21/16 15/12, and 21/16 20/17.

Vote after Runoff 3:
[19] 20/12
[ 8] 13/8 9/6
[ 5] 21/16 9/6



Neil Kazaross: 65 no play


Today’s vote:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 1
pip: 64
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 130
score: 0

is USBGF Members
XGID=--b-BBBBBA--AA-A-----A-eh-:2:-1:1:64:0:1:0:11:10
to play 64

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Comments

  1. Brion Brooks says:

    If we’re trying for some kind of trap play, we’ll need builders. And I feel as if builders on our inner point are more a priority for that purpose. 12/6 9/5 accomplishes that. If we’re not trying for a trap play then I suppose virtually any of the candidates are fungible.

  2. Mary Hickey says:

    We won’t need the 9 point once we have enough builders ready to give us a good chance at closing out both his guys if he runs with a forced 16. And if we play 12/6 9/5, putting two builders at excellent locations while keeping the outfield covered, I think we’re there. Let him roll that 16 now!

    With so many options, I’m not saying I’m certain, but I do think this play is at least on concept: 12/6 9/5

  3. Philippe Salnave says:

    13/9 12/6 we’ll try to make the 3 point.

  4. vinson Blanton vinson Blanton says:

    13/7 12/8 We’re trying to make our 3 point. This gives us three builders to accomplish that.

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