USBGF OLM 2021-10-07

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Last vote on the OLM:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 1
pip: 74
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 194
score: 0

is USBGF Members
XGID=-----AB-Cb---C-Ba---cDbeb-:1:1:1:43:0:1:0:11:10
to play 43

1.xgRollout121/17 8/5eq: +0.388
Player:
Opponent:
59.67% (G:12.03% B:0.39%)
40.33% (G:29.89% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.373...+0.403) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 19 minutes
2.playedRollout18/5 8/4eq: +0.289 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:
57.40% (G:12.27% B:0.40%)
42.60% (G:32.03% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.272...+0.305) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 07 minutes
3.Rollout113/6eq: +0.164 (-0.224)
Player:
Opponent:
54.20% (G:10.28% B:0.35%)
45.80% (G:34.02% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.150...+0.178) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 15 minutes
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66308783
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

USBGF Members vote:
[30] 8/5 8/4
[ 8] 21/17 8/5
[ 2] 13/6


Grant Hoffman (grant@hoffman.kiwi)
teaches at the Backgammon Learning Center, and can be contacted for lessons via email.

Grant Hoffman recommends: 21/17 8/5

After we cover 8/5, we have to decide how to play the 4. 8/4 gives up our 8 point which is not good. If we play 21/18 so that we could play 8/4 without giving up the 8 point, then 8/4 would be correct. Unfortunately 8/4 is off the table so we really have to play 21/17. This will be bad if we are hit with a 1, but if we are missed we will have a good position.


Neil Kazaross to play:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 1
pip: 74
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 187
score: 0

is USBGF Members
XGID=----ABB-Ab---C-Ba---cDbeb-:1:1:-1:41:0:1:0:11:10
to play 41

1.Rollout116/11eq: -0.359
Player:
Opponent:
40.53% (G:29.67% B:0.60%)
59.47% (G:14.89% B:0.56%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.374...-0.343) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
2.playedRollout19/5 2/1eq: -0.415 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:
39.40% (G:28.44% B:0.17%)
60.60% (G:12.77% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.428...-0.403) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 01 minute
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66308783
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Neil Kazaross plays 9/5 2/1.

I safety my checker with 9/5 2/1.


Today’s vote:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 1
pip: 69
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 187
score: 0

is USBGF Members
XGID=----ABB-Ab---C-B----dDbdc-:1:1:1:43:0:1:0:11:10
to play 43

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Comments

  1. 21/18 8/4

  2. Ben Elliott says:

    21/18 8/4

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