USBGF OLM 2018-05-06

[Previous] [Next]

Last vote on the OLM:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 5
pip: 142
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 145
score: 2

is USBGF Members
XGID=-a--BBC-C---eC-a-b-c-b-Ba-:0:0:1:51:2:5:0:11:10
to play 51

1.xgRollout123/22 6/1* eq: +0.492
Player:
Opponent:
57.89% (G:23.53% B:0.61%)
42.11% (G:11.53% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.483...+0.501) - [83.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 25 minutes
2.Rollout18/7 6/1* eq: +0.485 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
57.48% (G:25.77% B:0.68%)
42.52% (G:12.06% B:0.79%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.473...+0.496) - [16.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 28 minutes
3.playedRollout113/7eq: +0.468 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
57.56% (G:22.97% B:0.84%)
42.44% (G:11.09% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.455...+0.481) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 37 minutes
4.Rollout123/18 6/5eq: +0.422 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
58.13% (G:20.82% B:0.83%)
41.87% (G:14.26% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.410...+0.434) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes
5.Rollout123/22 23/18eq: +0.418 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
58.61% (G:19.25% B:0.81%)
41.39% (G:13.60% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.408...+0.429) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes
6.Rollout123/18 8/7eq: +0.418 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
57.72% (G:21.95% B:0.99%)
42.28% (G:14.64% B:0.61%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.405...+0.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes
7.Rollout123/22 13/8eq: +0.381 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:
56.91% (G:20.26% B:0.62%)
43.09% (G:11.61% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.370...+0.392) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 27 minutes
8.Rollout18/3 6/5eq: +0.336 (-0.156)
Player:
Opponent:
54.61% (G:22.02% B:0.66%)
45.39% (G:11.88% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.324...+0.348) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 40 minutes
9.Rollout123/22 8/3eq: +0.314 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:
55.08% (G:21.51% B:0.83%)
44.92% (G:14.19% B:0.74%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.302...+0.327) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes
10.Rollout18/3 4/3eq: +0.313 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:
54.53% (G:21.39% B:0.66%)
45.47% (G:12.39% B:0.71%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.300...+0.327) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes
11.Rollout113/8 6/5eq: +0.299 (-0.193)
Player:
Opponent:
54.54% (G:20.40% B:0.61%)
45.46% (G:11.83% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.288...+0.309) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54829122
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

USBGF Members vote:
[9] 13/7
[7] 23/22 6/1*
[7] 23/22 13/8
[6] 23/22 23/18
[5] 8/7 6/1*
[4] 13/8 6/5
[1] 23/22 8/3


Grant Hoffman (grant@hoffman.kiwi)
teaches at the Backgammon Learning Center, and can be contacted for lessons via email.

Grant Hoffman recommends: 8/7 6/1*

I really want to make my bar point so we should move 8/7, then decide on how to play the 5.

13/8 gives us a cover without losing the 8 point.

6/1* puts Neil on the bar. With 9 of his rolls he will stay on the bar. Only 6 rolls hit, and none of his hits both hit and cover his ace point. The hit also stops him improving on his side of the board so we should play 8/7 6/1*.


Neil Kazaross to play:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 5
pip: 142
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 139
score: 2

is USBGF Members
XGID=-a--BBCAC---eB-a-b-c-b-Ba-:0:0:-1:43:2:5:0:11:10
to play 43

1.playedRollout113/10 13/9eq: -0.793
Player:
Opponent:
35.96% (G:10.25% B:0.56%)
64.04% (G:26.65% B:1.08%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.807...-0.780) - [100.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 47 seconds
2.Rollout113/6eq: -0.848 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:
34.82% (G:9.86% B:0.73%)
65.18% (G:26.66% B:0.89%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.861...-0.834) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 50 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54829122
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Neil Kazaross plays 13/10 13/9.

I can bring two checkers down to unstack and make a new point and create a builder.


Today’s vote:

is Neil Kazaross

score: 5
pip: 135
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 139
score: 2

is USBGF Members
XGID=-a--BBCAC---cB-bab-c-b-Ba-:0:0:1:00:2:5:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Comments

  1. David Kettler says:

    At this score, we have to double this. Put yourself in Neil’s shoes and see if you would want to get cubed here. I’m betting that some of the same people who don’t think this is a double, would turn around and drop if the cube came flying at them.

  2. Stephen Trundy says:

    I don’t see the market losers. We have serious disentangling to do. No double.

  3. gary oleson says:

    lots of market losers, and his position will be difficult to improve upon. DOUBLE

  4. Ray Bills says:

    O’Hagan Dbl

  5. Philippe Salnave says:

    Behind in the race and 2 man back on the 23 point no double

  6. Richard Stubbe says:

    Down 5-2, 64 percent to win, 27 percent gammons. You don’t have a bad roll here, although I wouldn’t want 44.

Speak Your Mind